Ancaman resesi global pasca pandemi COVID-19 dan dampaknya terhadap ketahanan konsumen di Indonesia: Pendekatan analisis sintesis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61511/ersud.v1i1.2024.638Keywords:
consumer resilience, global recession, indonesia, synthesis analysis, threatAbstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted economic and consumer resilience in Indonesia, especially in facing the threat of a global recession. This research explores the relationship between the threat of a post-COVID-19 recession and consumer resilience. Through a qualitative approach with a literature study type and a synthetic analysis approach, this research analyzes 15 scientific works from 2007-2022 obtained from the Google Scholar database. The main findings include the potential threat of recession as indicated by the performance of high inflation reducing consumer purchasing power, declining economic growth in Indonesia -3.49% in 2020, and rising food prices triggering panic buying. Optimistic individual characteristics, adaptability, and financial literacy demonstrate consumer resilience. Preventive and collaborative strategies between government, business, and society are crucial to building strong consumer resilience.
References
Abdullah, C., & Suliyanthini, D. (2021, Januari 3). Perubahan Perilaku Konsumen di Masa Pandemi Covid-19. Equilibrium: Jurnal Pendidikan, 9(1), 18–24. https://doi.org/10.26618/equilibrium.v9i1.4316
Aiginger, K. (2009, September). Strengthening the resilience of an economy. Intereconomics, 44(5), 309–316. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-009-0308-9
Akbar, Darma, R., Mujahidin, I., & Irawan, A. (2022, April 1). The Impact of the Covid-19‘s Economic Recession on Food Security in Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1012(1), 012005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1012/1/012005
Bakrie, C. R., Delanova, M. O., & Mochamad Yani, Y. (2022, Juni 27). PENGARUH PERANG RUSIA DAN UKRAINA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN NEGARA KAWASAN ASIA TENGGARA. Jurnal Caraka Prabu, 6(1), 65–86. https://doi.org/10.36859/jcp.v6i1.1019
Bank for International Statements . (2016, Desember 16). Economic resilience: a financial perspective. Retrieved October 20, 2023, from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp27.htm
Bank Indonesia. (2023, Agustus). Inflasi Agustus 2023 Tetap Terjaga. Retrieved October19, 2023, from https://www.bi.go.id/id/publikasi/ruang-media/news-release/Pages/sp_2524123.aspx
Brinkmann, H., Harendt, C., Heinemann, F., & Nover, J. (2017). Economic Resilience—A New Concept for Policy-Making?. Wirtschaftsdienst, 97, 644-650.
Darmastuti, S., Juned, M., Susanto, F. A., & Al-Husin, R. N. (2021, Maret 30). COVID-19 dan Kebijakan dalam Menyikapi Resesi Ekonomi: Studi Kasus Indonesia, Filipina, dan Singapura. Jurnal Madani: Ilmu Pengetahuan, Teknologi, Dan Humaniora, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.33753/madani.v4i1.148
Dormady, N., Roa-Henriquez, A., & Rose, A. (2017). The Resilience of the Firm: A Production Theory Approach. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3042815
Firdaus, A. H., Listiyanto, E., Talattov, A. P., & Taufikurahman, M. R. (2020). Kajian Tengah Tahun INDEF 2020: Menata Arsitektur Ekonomi Pasca Pandemi. INDEF.
Fitri, N., & Basri, H. (2021). Pengaruh Gaya Hidup Terhadap Perilaku Konsumen Pada Generasi Milenial Di Era Pandemi Covid-19 Dengan Pengetahuan Ekonomi Sebagai Variabel Moderasi. EKOMBIS REVIEW: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 9(2), 183-192. https://doi.org/10.37676/ekombis.v9i2.1329
Guenette, J. D., Kose, M. A., & Sugawara, N. (2023). Is a Global Recession Imminent? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4223901
Guthrie, C., Fosso-Wamba, S., & Arnaud, J. B. (2021, Juli). Online consumer resilience during a pandemic: An exploratory study of e-commerce behavior before, during and after a COVID-19 lockdown. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 61, 102570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jretconser.2021.102570
Hutauruk, M. R. (2020). Pengaruh pandemi covid-19 terhadap faktor yang menentukan perilaku konsumen untuk membeli barang kebutuhan pokok di Samarinda. Jurnal Riset Inossa: Media Hasil Riset Pemerintahan, Ekonomi dan Sumber Daya Alam 2.1 2(1), 1-15.
Inegbedion, H. E. (2020, Juli 28). COVID-19 lockdown: implication for food security. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 11(5), 437–451. https://doi.org/10.1108/jadee-06-2020-0130
International Monetary Fund. (2022, Oktober11). World Economic Outlook, October 2022: Countering the Cost-of-Living Crisis. IMF. Retrieved October 19, 2023, from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2022/10/11/world-economic-outlook-october-2022
IRIANI, S. S., NUSWANTARA, D. A., KARTIKA, A. D., & PURWOHANDOKO, P. (2021). The Impact of Government Regulations on Consumers Behaviour during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study in Indonesia. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(4), 939–948. https://doi.org/10.13106/JAFEB.2021.VOL8.NO4.0939
Keke, Y.; Dida, S.; Sugiyana, D.; and Suryana, S. (2021) Determining the influence of Consumer Behaviour in using Co-Branded Card during Pandemic-Covid19. Review of International Geographical Education (RIGEO),11(5),28-35.doi:10.48047/rigeo.11.05.03
Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia. (2020, April 9). USAHA PEMERINTAH DI ERA PANDEMI. Retrieved October 19, 2023, from https://djpb.kemenkeu.go.id/direktorat/ppkblu/id/data-publikasi/berita-terbaru/611-usaha-pemerintah-di-era-pandemi.html
Kennedy, R., & Suhendarto, B. P. (2020, Mei 10). Diskursus Hukum: Alternatif Pola Pengisian Jabatan Kepala Daerah di Masa Pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Pembangunan Hukum Indonesia, 2(2), 188–204. https://doi.org/10.14710/jphi.v2i2.188-205
Kimura, F., Thangavelu, S. M., Narjoko, D., & Findlay, C. (2020, Maret). Pandemic (COVID‐19) Policy, Regional Cooperation and the Emerging Global Production Network†. Asian Economic Journal, 34(1), 3–27. https://doi.org/10.1111/asej.12198
Lorenz, D. F., & Dittmer, C. (2016). Resilience in Catastrophes, Disasters and Emergencies. New Perspectives on Resilience in Socio-Economic Spheres, 25–59. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-13328-3_3
Mankiw, N. G. (2010, April 15). Macroeconomics. Worth Pub.
Milaković, I. (2021, Desember 1). Exploring Consumer Resilience during COVID-19: Demographics, Consumer Optimism, Innovativeness and Online Buying. Economic and Business Review, 23(4), 260–272. https://doi.org/10.15458/2335-4216.1291
Prentice, C., Chen, J., & Stantic, B. (2020, November). Timed intervention in COVID-19 and panic buying. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 57, 102203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jretconser.2020.102203
Purwanto, N., Pancaningrum, E., & Juwita, K. (2022, Desember 21). Analysis of Consumer Behaviour in Making Decisions after the Covid-19 pandemic: Perspectives on the Theory of Stimulus Organism Response (SOR). KnE Social Sciences. https://doi.org/10.18502/kss.v7i19.12425
Rahmayani, D., Oktavilia, S., & Putri, P. I. (2021, November 6). The Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Inflation in Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 22(2), 117–128. https://doi.org/10.23917/jep.v22i2.13861
Rose, A. (2007). Economic resilience to natural and man-made disasters: Multidisciplinary origins and contextual dimensions. Environmental Hazards, 7(4), 383–398. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envhaz.2007.10.001
Rose, A. (2017, April 3). Defining and Measuring Economic Resilience from a Societal, Environmental and Security Perspective. Springer.
Sheth, J. (2020, September). Impact of Covid-19 on consumer behavior: Will the old habits return or die? Journal of Business Research, 117, 280–283. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.05.059
Sweetman, C., Smyth, I. & Sweetman, C., (2015). Introduction: Gender and Resilience, Oxfam GB, Routledge. Kenya. Retrieved from https://policycommons.net/artifacts/1821373/introduction/2559657/ on 19 Oct 2023. CID: 20.500.12592/00mc8r.
Ungar, M. (2006, November 8). Resilience across Cultures. British Journal of Social Work, 38 (2), 218–235. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjsw/bcl343
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
Citation Check
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Journal of Economic Resilience and Sustainable Development
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
