Flood risk typology analysis: Spatial distribution of river flooding and urban flooding as a foundation for disaster management planning

Authors

  • Arkha Dhemas Gunanda Department of Disaster Management, Graduate School of Sustainable Development, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 10430, Indonesia
  • Rachmadhi Purwana Department of Disaster Management, Graduate School of Sustainable Development, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 10430, Indonesia
  • Triarko Nurlambang Department of Disaster Management, Graduate School of Sustainable Development, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 10430, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61511/andmej.v4i1.2026.3926

Keywords:

disaster risk, flood typology, river flooding, spatial distribution, urban flooding

Abstract

Background: Flood losses in Bantul Regency surged by nearly 500% from 2015 to 2025 (reaching IDR 7.1 billion). Despite having standard disaster plans (KRB and RPB), these documents apply a one-size-fits-all approach, ignoring the distinct mechanisms and specific mitigation needs of different flood types. Methods: This research employs a mixed-methods approach integrating GIS-based spatial analysis, document content analysis, and semi-structured interviews with 7 key informants (representing BPBD Bantul, Bappeda, and BBWSO). The flood typology classification followed the framework of Bello et al. (2024), utilizing a spatial classification procedure that overlays flood hazard, land cover, and watershed boundaries. The risk component analysis performed the H×V/C formula per BNPB (2021) methodology. Spatial mapping was performed using ArcGIS 10.3 (coordinate system UTM Zone 49S) with BNPB 2022 data, DIBI the BNPB historical records, and BIG 2023 land cover data. The spatial results were validated using historical inundation records and Google Earth satellite imagery. Findings: Two distinct flood typologies were identified: river flooding in downstream watershed areas, characterized mainly by high hazard, and urban flooding in Yogyakarta’s buffer areas, characterized by high vulnerability. However, the current KRB fails to distinguish between these typologies, analyzing risks by administrative borders instead of natural hydrological units. Conclusion: Flood risk in Bantul Regency is not homogeneous. Typological differentiation has different implications for disaster-risk and spatial planning instruments. The KRB methodology must be reoriented toward DAS hydrology-based analytical units with explicit typology classification as a prerequisite for effective and adaptive disaster management planning. Novelty/Originality of this article: The study contributes a district-level application that integrates flood-typology differentiation, GIS-based spatial analysis, and watershed considerations in evaluating the KRB.

References

Aditya, S., Dedi, S., Danardono, Choirul, A., & Namiko, S. (2024). Flood susceptibility preparatory mapping in Tegal Regency, Central Java, Indonesia. Disaster Advances, 17(8), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.25303/178da0107

Alem, D., Bonilla-Londono, H. F., Barbosa-Povoa, A. P., Relvas, S., Ferreira, D., & Moreno, A. (2021). Building disaster preparedness and response capacity in humanitarian supply chains using the Social Vulnerability Index. European Journal of Operational Research, 292(1), 250-275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.10.016

Amri, I., Giyarsih, S. R., & Ruslanjari, D. (2024). Tsunami risk awareness, hazard warning knowledge, and intended evacuation behavior among beach users in Bantul, Indonesia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 109, 104594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104594

Bantul Regency Government. (2025). Peraturan Bupati Bantul Nomor 7 Tahun 2025 tentang Kajian Risiko Bencana Daerah Tahun 2025–2029. https://jdih.bantulkab.go.id/produkhukum/detail/6113/peraturan-bupati-tahun-2025-nomor-7.html

Bantul Regency Regional Disaster Management Agency. (n.d.). Data bencana. https://bpbd.bantulkab.go.id/data/

Bantul Regency Statistics Indonesia. (2024). Kabupaten Bantul dalam angka 2024. https://bantulkab.bps.go.id/

Bello, M., Singh, S., Singh, S. K., Pandey, V., Kumar, P., Meraj, G., Kanga, S., & Sajan, B. (2024). Geospatial analysis of flood susceptibility in Nigeria’s vulnerable coastal states: A detailed assessment and mitigation strategy proposal. Climate, 12(7), Article 93. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12070093

BNPB. (2022). Kajian risiko bencana nasional Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta tahun 2022–2026. Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana. https://bpbd.jogjaprov.go.id/detail_information/362

BNPB. (2023). Indeks Risiko Bencana Indonesia tahun 2023. Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana. https://inarisk2.bnpb.go.id/v4/irbi

BNPB. (2024). Indeks Risiko Bencana Indonesia Tahun 2023. Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana. https://inarisk.bnpb.go.id/irbi

Cao, J., Luo, Y., Tao, J., Zhang, X., Zhang, X., Zhang, X., Fan, L., Nam, W. H., Sur, C., He, Y., Gulakhmadov, A., & Niyogi, D. (2024). Assessing the responsiveness of multiple microwave remote sensing vegetation optical depth indices to drought on crops in Midwest US. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 132, 104072. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2024.104072

Carter, W. N. (2008). Disaster management: A disaster manager’s handbook. Asian Development Bank. https://www.adb.org/publications/disaster-management-disaster-managers-handbook

Chen, L., Wang, Y., Yan, Y., Zhou, Z., Xie, B., & You, X. (2024). Coupling and coordination development, spatiotemporal evolution, and driving factors of China’s digital countryside and inclusive green growth in rural areas. Sustainability, 16(13). https://doi.org/10.3390/su16135583

Chotim, E. E. (2020). Pembangunan berkelanjutan dengan dimensi ekonomi, ekologi, dan sosial di Indonesia. JIMEA: Jurnal Ilmiah MEA, 4(1), 462–481. https://doi.org/10.31955/mea.v4i1.958

Cui, P., Peng, J., Shi, P., Tang, H., Ouyang, C., Zou, Q., Liu, L., Li, C., & Lei, Y. (2021). Scientific challenges of research on natural hazards and disaster risk. Geography and Sustainability, 2(3), 216–223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geosus.2021.09.001

Di Marcoberardino, D., & Cucculelli, M. (2024). “Natural” disasters and regional governance: Evidence from European NUTS-3 regions. Papers in Regional Science, 103(1), 100003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100003

Dziwornu, E. (2024). Economic loss and mental health experiences among flood disaster victims in Ghana. Journal of Advocacy, Research and Education, 11(1), 15–22. https://doi.org/10.13187/jare.2024.1.15

Eze, E., & Siegmund, A. (2024). Identifying disaster risk factors and hotspots in Africa from spatiotemporal decadal analyses using INFORM data for risk reduction and sustainable development. Sustainable Development, 32(4), 4020–4041. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2886

Faiz, T. I., & Harrison, K. W. (2024). A risk-averse stochastic optimization model for community resilience planning. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 92, 101835. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101835

Fox, S., Agyemang, F., Hawker, L., & Neal, J. (2024). Integrating social vulnerability into high-resolution global flood risk mapping. Nature Communications, 15(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47394-2

Galarza-Villamar, J. A., Leeuwis, C., & Cecchi, F. (2024). Rice farmers and floods in Ecuador: The strategic role of social capital in disaster risk reduction and livelihood resilience. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 104, 104332. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4499859

Haeril, H., Irfadat, T., & Mas’ud, M. (2022). Strategi Badan Penanggulangan Bencana Daerah (BPBD) dalam pengurangan risiko bencana alam di Kabupaten Bima. Jurnal Studi Ilmu Pemerintahan, 3(1), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.35326/jsip.v3i1.1889

Hizbaron, D. R., Dimyati, M., Hadi, M. P., Khakim, N., Suarma, U., & Pujiastuti, I. (2024). Co-creation of urban hazard, vulnerability and risk information system towards sustainable regional development trajectories in Sulawesi, Indonesia. Natural Hazards, 120(1), 785–804. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06234-0

Jacinto, R., Sebastião, F., Reis, E., & Ferrão, J. (2023). SoResilere—A social resilience index applied to Portuguese flood disaster-affected municipalities. Sustainability, 15(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/su15043309

Jones, A. V., Alves, P. B. R., Drakeford, B., & Hendricks, M. D. (2024). Slow violence to disasters: Exploring racialized topographies and contextualizing social vulnerability to flood and other environmental risks. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 105, 104409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104409

Khanna, P., Babu, P. R., & George, M. S. (1999). Carrying capacity as a basis for sustainable development: A case study of National Capital Region in India. Progress in Planning, 52, 101–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-9006(99)00004-5

Kotone, K., Taniguchi, K., Nakamura, K., & Takayama, Y. (2021). Estimation of potential economic losses due to flooding considering variations of spatial distribution of houses and firms in a city. Journal of Disaster Research, 16(3), 329–342. https://doi.org/10.20965/jdr.2021.p0329

Kumar, G. D., & Pradhan, K. C. (2024). Assessing the district-level flood vulnerability in Bihar, eastern India: An integrated socioeconomic and environmental approach. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 196(9). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-12952-0

Kumar, K., & Bindu, C. A. (2022). Resilience master plan as the pathway to actualize sustainable development goals–a case of Kozhikode, Kerala, India. Progress in Disaster Science, 14, 100226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2022.100226

Mahi, A. K., & Trigunarso, S. I. (2017). Sistem perencanaan pembangunan nasional (1st ed.). Kharisma Putra Utama.

Meng, S. (2024). Environmental governance is critical for mitigating human displacement due to weather-related disasters. Communications Earth and Environment, 5(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01528-y

Messer, N. M. (2003). The role of local institutions and their interaction in disaster risk mitigation: A literature review. Food and Agriculture Organization, United Nations. https://www.fao.org/4/ad710e/ad710e0t.htm

Miller, G. T., & Spoolman, S. E. (2016). Environmental science. Joseph Henry Press.

Mori, J., Mooney, W. D., Afnimar, Kurniawan, S., Anaya, A. I., & Widiyantoro, S. (2007). The 17 July 2006 tsunami earthquake in West Java, Indonesia. Seismological Research Letters, 78(2), 201–207. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.2.201

Muqsith, I. A., Mardiana, R., & Dharmawan, A. H. (2023). Pencapaian SDGs pada kawasan ekowisata. Jurnal Ilmu Lingkungan, 21(4), 740–754. https://ejournal.undip.ac.id/index.php/ilmulingkungan/article/view/47933

Nugroho, R., & Wrihatnolo, R. R. (2011). Manajemen perencanaan pembangunan. Elex Media Komputindo.

Ogura, T., Shimamoto, K., Mizuno, T., Katayama, D., Yamauchi, H., & Hattanji, T. (2025). Identification of traditional flood control facilities concealed in the riparian forest: A case study of the Echi River, central Japan. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-025-00715-5

Parsons, M., Reeve, I., McGregor, J., Hastings, P., Marshall, G. R., McNeill, J., Stayner, R., & Glavac, S. (2021). Disaster resilience in Australia: A geographic assessment using an index of coping and adaptive capacity. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 62, 102422. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102422

Patri, P., Sharma, P., & Patra, S. K. (2022). Does economic development reduce disaster damage risk from floods in India? Empirical evidence using the ZINB model. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103163

Poling, K., & Shealy, T. (2024). Barriers to long-term disaster recovery in rural Appalachia: A retrospective analysis of the 2016 West Virginia flood. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 110, 104648. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104648

Ramli, M. W. A., & Alias, N. E. (2024). Multidimensional vulnerability mapping using GIS and catastrophe theory. International Journal of Geoinformatics, 20(8), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.52939/ijg.v20i8.3443

Safarov, R., Shomanova, Z., Nossenko, Y., Kopishev, E., Bexeitova, Z., & Kamatov, R. (2024). Spatial analysis of air pollutants in an industrial city using GIS-based techniques. Sustainability, 16(17), 7834. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16177834

Savitri, Y. R., Kakimoto, R., Begum, R. A., Anwar, N., Wardoyo, W., & Suryani, E. (2022). The application of AHP to determine the priority drainage system on flood mitigation in Surabaya – Indonesia. Journal of Disaster Research, 17(3), 431–443. https://doi.org/10.20965/jdr.2022.p0431

Song, K., Seok, Y., & Chon, J. (2023). Nature-based restoration simulation for disaster-prone coastal area using green infrastructure effect. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20043096

Suparmoko, M. (2020). Pembangunan nasional dan regional. Jurnal Ekonomika dan Manajemen, 9(1), 39–50. https://journal.budiluhur.ac.id/ema/article/view/1112

Surjono, S. S., Wijaya, E., Yufianto, A., & Firmansyah, A. (2015). The potential of laharic flows disaster along Gendol and Opak rivers, Yogyakarta, Indonesia. ASEAN Engineering Journal, 4(3), 16–26. https://doi.org/10.11113/aej.v4.15541

Synolakis, C., Imamura, F., Tsuji, Y., Matsutomi, H., Tinti, S., Cook, B., Chandra, Y. P., & Usman, M. (1995). Damage, conditions of East Java tsunami of 1994 analyzed. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 76(26), 257. https://doi.org/10.1029/95EO00150

Ulinnuha, I., Prasetyo, Y., & Sabri, L. (2019). Analisis spasial aliran lahar menggunakan HEC-HMS dan HEC-RAS pada Kali Gendol-Opak kawasan Gunung Merapi. Jurnal Geodesi Undip, 9(1), 20–28. https://doi.org/10.14710/jgundip.2020.26030

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. (2022). Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction 2022: Our world at risk. United Nations. https://www.undrr.org/gar/gar2022-our-world-risk

Wan, S., Shu, Z., Zhang, X., Zhong, W., Wu, H., Kang, S., & Zheng, T. (2024). Research on the disaster management of China’s ethnic minority autonomous regions in the Development of Modernization Construction—Taking Mabian Yi Autonomous County in Southern Sichuan as an Example. Sustainability, 16(16). https://doi.org/10.3390/su16167170

Xue, L., Gong, Y., Yang, B., & Xu, X. (2024). Resilience, efficiency fluctuations, and regional heterogeneity in disaster: An empirical study on logistics. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 93, 101854. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101854

Zhang, Q. T., Qian, J. L., Jiang, X. J., Wu, Y. X., & Yu, P. B. (2025). Spatial dependence of conditional recurrence periods for extreme rainfall in the Qiantang River basin. Sustainability, 17(24). https://doi.org/10.3390/su172410896

Zheng, J., Li, J., Zeng, J., Huang, G., & Chen, W. (2024). Application of a time-dependent performance-based resilience metric to establish the potential of coupled green-grey infrastructure in urban flood management. Sustainable Cities and Society, 112, 105608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2024.105608

Zhou, J., Du, W., Liu, J., Pang, Y., Wang, J., Kong, M., & Wang, H. (2026). Identifying and analysing the differences between flooding and waterlogging in urban areas. Scientific Reports, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-35296-w

Downloads

Published

2026-07-28

How to Cite

Gunanda, A. D., Purwana, R., & Nurlambang, T. (2026). Flood risk typology analysis: Spatial distribution of river flooding and urban flooding as a foundation for disaster management planning. ASEAN Natural Disaster Mitigation and Education Journal, 4(1), 90–114. https://doi.org/10.61511/andmej.v4i1.2026.3926

Issue

Section

Articles

Citation Check